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Polymarket and Parcl have teamed up to launch real-estate prediction markets that let people forecast where home prices are headed. The new markets will reference Parcl’s daily city-level indices and resolve on clear, public numbers. Polymarket will list and operate the markets, while Parcl supplies the independent housing data used for settlement.
In the joint release, the companies announce partnership and explain that contracts will settle against published index values, with each market linking to a Parcl resolution page that shows the final figure and methodology. Early markets will focus on major U.S. cities, with templates that ask whether prices end higher or lower over a set period.
Industry coverage has already describe launch, saying the goal is to make housing—often called the world’s biggest asset—easier to trade without owning property or using leverage (crypto.news). By anchoring outcomes to transparent indices, the partners aim to avoid disputes and keep results auditable for analysts and retail users alike.
The timing also fits a broader push to bring prediction data into mainstream finance. Dow Jones recently strike agreement to distribute real-time probabilities from Polymarket across The Wall Street Journal and other platforms. If housing markets gain traction, price expectations for cities could appear next to news on mortgages, inventories, and rents—offering a quick read on sentiment.
For real-estate tokenization, the effect could be practical. Sponsors and lenders often need forward views to price deals, hedge exposure, or time offerings. City-level prediction markets can provide a simple reference for near-term direction, while tokenized assets handle ownership and cash-flow distribution. Together, these tools may support better discovery for property-linked products without replacing traditional underwriting.
“Prediction markets are gaining substantial momentum and represent a paradigm shift in how views are expressed, and truth is identified,” said Trevor Bacon, CEO of Parcl. “Parcl is the source of truth for real-estate pricing, and we believe real estate should be a major category within the prediction-market ecosystem.”
Past steps set the stage: Parcl built daily indices and on-chain tools for long/short housing exposure, while Polymarket expanded beyond politics and sports into macro events. The new integration turns that groundwork into a focused product for housing, with phased rollouts across high-liquidity cities and standardized market templates designed to keep settlements clean and verifiable.
